La Niña: Calm Before the Storm in Ag Markets?

La Niña: Calm Before the Storm in Ag Markets?

By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

Highlights

  • Ag options’ implied volatility remains exceptionally low despite La Niña
  • Could be due to decline in U.S. status as predominant global grain exporter
  • Economic conditions could temper impact of La Niña as in 2009, 2010
  • La Niña might not further depress already low grain prices
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