Research: What Are Ag Options Traders ‘Smiling’ About?

What Are Ag Options Traders ‘Smiling’ About?

By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

Highlights

  • Out-of-the-money (OTM) call options for grains signal fear of prices rising
  • OTM premiums for calls top those for puts despite abundant global supplies
  • Tighter credit controls in China could pose a downside risk for prices
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