ANNOUNCEMENTS

Trade War: Lose-Lose Outcome? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Highlights As U.S., China dig in, trade war could hurt businesses in both countries China’s fast-growing airline sector could shift demand to Europe Chinese demand shifts could also occur in energy, livestock sectors Are U.S. companies operating in China at risk of corporate retaliation? … Read More

Taking Cues from Oil Options Skews, U.S. and China Policy Impacts on Gold By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Oil: Are Options Skews Reliable Price Indicators? Out-of-the-money oil options skews signal fears of a slump 90% of the time Gasoline, ULSD markets also showing significant downside concerns Market slump fears are fueled by surging … Read More

Interpreting the U.S. Bond Rally By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Highlights U.S. 10-Year Treasury yields have declined from 3.2% to 2.2% since Oct 2018 Are low yields a signal of a coming recession, or just decelerating growth? Subdued inflation is diminishing risk premium in bond yields Zero German and Japanese bond yields are pulling … Read More