Rates, FX Trading Still Calm as U.S., Italian Debt Levels Rise

Rates, FX Trading Still Calm as U.S., Italian Debt Levels Rise By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group How Will Rising Rates Impact a Growing Budget Deficit? Highlights Why is the budget deficit expanding during growth, low unemployment? Could rising rates widen the deficit, now at 4.5% of GDP vs. 2.2% in 2016? Treasury options appear unconcerned, trading … Read More

Brexit in Focus as Markets Plan Ahead for Event Risk

Brexit in Focus as Markets Plan Ahead for Event Risk By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Jesy Beeson, Director of Business Intelligence, CME Group Managing Event Risk with Futures and Options 10-Year Treasury options open interest booming amid new risks, rate hikes Slowdown expectations in China have bolstered open interest in Copper options As Brexit … Read More

Can U.S. Economy Maintain Decade-Long Growth Momentum?

Can U.S. Economy Keep Its Pace After a Decade of Growth? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Video Highlights Can U.S. economy withstand trade war, higher rates, emerging market FX disruption? Factors to watch: flat yield curve, decline in corporate profits, sell-off in high-yield debt Watch Video Tracking the Trade War and Global Markets … Read More

Bright Spots in Emerging Market Currencies

Bright Spots in Emerging Market Currencies 27 Sep 2018 By Erik Norland Topics: Economic Events As the world looks back at the 2008 financial crisis, what is remarkable is how little the state of the economy resembles that of a decade ago and how much it’s similar to that of 1997 and 1998 during the Asian … Read More

Gold: Waiting for the Next Bull Market

Gold: Waiting for the Next Bull Market 11 Sep 2018 By Erik Norland Topics: Metals After gold’s spectacular rally from $280 per ounce in 2002 to $1,900 in 2011, the past seven years have been a lackluster period for its investors.  Gold’s nine-year rally closely tracked the 2002-2011 bear market in the U.S. dollar (USD).  Moreover, … Read More