China, Brazil and the Soybean Crush; Will Fiscal Stimulus Bolster Europe?

China, Brazil and the Soybean Crush; Will Fiscal Stimulus Bolster Europe?

By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

China, Brazil and the Soybean Crush

  • Strong Chinese growth can propel soy oil prices higher over 12 months
  • China’s economic expansion, however, can negatively impact soy meal
  • A fast-growing, prosperous China can boost the consumption of soy oil
  • Soy oil has a stronger influence than meal on soybean planting decisions
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Europe’s Recovery Hinges on Fiscal Policy

  • Can fiscal stimulus jumpstart the eurozone’s economic expansion?
  • Low rates, falling debt should lead to increased spending, lower taxes
  • ECB’s negative rates costing eurozone banks 7.5 billion euros a year
  • Will ECB President Mario Draghi’s successor loosen monetary policy?
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