Industrial metals hinge on China, Fed’s focus on money markets

Industrial metals hinge on China, and Fed’s focus on money markets

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

Industrial metals’ demand hinges on China growth

  • Iron ore, aluminum, steel, and copper output has doubled or tripled since 1990s
  • China consumes 40-50% of aluminum, copper, and steel produced each year
  • Demand prospects in 2020 are upbeat amid China growth despite US trade war
  • Could China’s growing debt load cast a cloud over its economy in long term?
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Fed’s focus on money markets

  • Fed debating playing a bigger role in the overnight lending market
  • Or remain hands off, let banks maneuver risks using term lending facilities
  • Will Fed abandon Fed Funds, set SOFR-based short-term rate policy?
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