Insight: The Tussle Between Stocks and Bonds

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Understanding Duration in Stocks. Will Bonds Drain Capital From Equities?

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

Why Some Stocks Are More Sensitive to Bond Yields

  • High-growth stocks can have long duration, pushing returns further out.
  • Nasdaq is long in duration. Dow, which pays higher dividends, is short in duration.
  • Higher bond yields have weighed more on Nasdaq than on Dow, Russell 2000.
  • Duration is an important factor to consider when evaluating index returns.
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Top Performing Stocks Were Most Affected by Bonds

  • Some equity sectors were hit hard by rising yields, others have benefitted.
  • Prices of tech, telecom, and consumer discretionary stocks have retreated.
  • Financials, energy stocks have gained; real estate, industrials unaffected.
  • Best performing sectors were hit the hardest by rising bond yields.
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