Measuring and managing event risk

Measuring and managing event risk

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group

Highlights

  • Trade war poses an event risk that can have two conflicting outcomes
  • Escalation of dispute weighs on equities, ceasefire helps rally the market
  • Measuring this type of risk might need more than bell-curve techniques
  • Solution could be to use options volume, volatility, intra-day price data
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