Oil Demand Optimism and Rising Consumer Prices

Watch Video

Oil Demand Optimism and Rising Consumer Prices

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

Four Factors To Consider in Oil

  • ​Resumption of international air travel could boost oil demand in H2.
  • Oil majors Saudi Arabia, Russia expected to raise supply as demand improves.
  • U.S. shale oil output increase has lagged expectations despite higher prices.
  • Oil is in backwardation, with spot prices higher than prices further out
Watch video

Consumer Prices Tick Higher

  • ​​​​​Consumer prices rose 2.6% in March year on year, up 0.6% from February.
  • Inflation expected to rise in April, May as vaccines lift consumer demand.
  • Consumer demand was under heavy pressure in 2020 amid COVID-19.
  • Core inflation, excluding food and energy, could rise to 2.5% from 1.6%.
Watch video