Oil: Geopolitical risks in the Middle East

Oil: Geopolitical risks in the Middle East

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

Oil: US buffers Mideast influence

  • Impact of Mideast oil supply disruptions on prices has diminished
  • Loss of influence is due to rising US shale oil production and exports
  • Price surge after drone attack on Saudi oil facilities was short-lived
  • US is a buffer to Saudi, Russia’s ability to influence global oil prices
Watch video

Is oil nervous enough about Iran and the Saudis?

  • High oil inventories helped to thwart price surge after Saudi drone attack
  • 14% rally also fizzled out due to weak global demand amid slow growth
  • US shale oil supply could surge within months if prices hit $70-$100/barrel
  • Market perceives the attack on Saudi oil facilities as an isolated act
Read article