The Currency-Commodities Nexus and Modern Monetary Theory

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The Currency-Commodities Nexus and Modern Monetary Theory

By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group

The Currency-Commodities Nexus of the Big Eight

  • Currencies of Canada, Norway, Russia, Colombia have weakened with oil.
  • Will cuts to oil output help offset lost demand, bolster these currencies?
  • Russia’s low debt level, large foreign reserves have underpinned ruble.
  • Australia faces first economic downturn since 1990s as exports take a hit.
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Modern Monetary Theory Makes Back-Door Entry into Policies

  • Governments, centrals banks spending trillions to mitigate pandemic damage.
  • Modern Monetary Theory (MMT) is a fusion of monetary and fiscal policy.
  • MMT advocates new government spending measured by return on investment.
  • If projects are worth undertaking, they can be financed with debt.
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