Watch now: Debt risk and yield curve growth nexus Jan 09, 2020 Debt risk and yield curve growth nexus By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Rising debt a risk in 2020? Record-long US growth could extend into 2020 and beyond US-China trade war ceasefire eliminates a slow-down trigger Debt is rising faster than growth prospects in many sectors Could downplaying risk, extending asset price rallies be a risk? Watch video The yield curve-growth nexus Are yield curves reliable indicators of economic growth? We looked at countries comprising 88% of the global economy All showed positive relationship with yield curve 6-15 months out The probability of that happening is one in 8.3 million Watch video SEE MORE ANNOUNCEMENTS
