Will trade war slow third quarter earnings growth? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Highlights Most companies likely to weather trade war impact on top-line revenues But disruptions to supply chains could raise costs, trim margins in 2020 Farmers might gain from a limited deal with China, but not most US companies Scrapping of … Read More
Research: Oil prices in question
Oil’s changing supply landscape, options skew strikes again By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Oil’s changing supply landscape Oil prices, options volatility are down a month after Saudi attacks High inventories, slow global growth behind 14% rally fizzling out Permian Basin leading the charge in US oil production surge Watch video Oil options skew … Read More
The unintended consequences of quantitative easing
The unintended consequences of quantitative easing By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Highlights Liquidity is critical to efficient risk management using less capital Quantitative easing in Europe, Japan drained liquidity from bond markets Bid/ask spreads widened, diminishing risk management efficiency Europe, Japan’s QE led to sluggish growth, hurt financial sector Watch video
Oil: Geopolitical risks in the Middle East
Oil: Geopolitical risks in the Middle East By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Oil: US buffers Mideast influence Impact of Mideast oil supply disruptions on prices has diminished Loss of influence is due to rising US shale oil production and exports Price surge after drone attack on Saudi oil … Read More
Trading themes; will gold outperform equities?
Top trading themes and is gold about to outperform equities? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Is gold about to outperform equities? Gold has outperformed equities over the past year, reversing a 7-year trend Fed rates cuts could herald a USD bear market, a bullish factor for gold Could … Read More