High Consumer Confidence: Cause for Concern or Celebration?

High Consumer Confidence: Cause for Concern or Celebration? By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Highlights U.S. consumer confidence is buoyant, highest since 2000 Happy consumers no guarantee of strong returns from equities Stock market fell after consumer confidence peaked in 1968, 2000 Equities rewarded investors after worst periods of consumer confidence Read Full Article … Read More

Research: Why U.S. Dollar is Lagging Euro, Yen Despite Higher Rates?

Why U.S. Dollar is Lagging Euro, Yen Despite Higher Rates? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Video Highlights Equities trying to price collateral damage from a possible trade war U.S. likely to withdraw from NAFTA pact with Canada and Mexico in Q2 Trans-Pacific trade bloc without U.S. could impact dollar, but not GDP Connect to FX … Read More

Research: Will a Sino-U.S. Trade War Impact Grain, Meat Markets?

Will a Sino-U.S. Trade War Impact Grain, Meat Markets? By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Highlights Chinese retaliation in trade dispute unlikely to severely impact ag markets Pace of China’s growth tends to impact metals, energy products, currencies A slowdown in China’s growth takes more than a year to impact ag markets Li Keqiang … Read More

Watch Now: Fed Unwinding of QE & What It Means for U.S. Bonds

Fed Unwinding of QE and What It Means for U.S. Bonds By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Video Highlights Fed’s unwinding of QE has helped to raise U.S. Treasury yields  U.S. Treasuries considered high-yielding compared to Japan, EU Japan, Germany bond yields to rise when they end quantitative easing Connect to Interest Rates on LinkedIn … Read More

Research: Could Trade Skirmishes Lead to Trade Wars?

Could Trade Skirmishes Lead to Trade Wars? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Highlights Escalating trade tensions are a major risk to synchronized global growth The rise of trading blocs that exclude U.S. could reshape global trading patterns Trade protectionism will go beyond commerce to impact global capital flows U.S. trade policy shifts could raise the … Read More