Crude Oil’s Next Move? Clues from Soybean Oil

View in your browser Crude Oil’s Next Move? Clues from Soybean Oil By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Highlights Soybean oil prices tend to forerun WTI Crude Oil futures Trend has been evident nearly every year since 2005 through peaks and troughs Soybean oil’s lack of a sustained recovery may be a bearish signal … Read More

Research: Markets React to Trade Tensions, Cohn’s White House Resignation

Markets React to Trade Tensions, Cohn’s White House Resignation By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Video Highlights Equities trying to price collateral damage from a possible trade war U.S. likely to withdraw from NAFTA pact with Canada and Mexico in Q2 Trans-Pacific trade bloc without U.S. could impact dollar, but not GDP Manage Stock Market Risk … Read More

Italy, Germany Sunday Event Risk: Market Impact

View in your browser Italy, Germany Sunday Event Risk: Market Impact By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Highlights Italian election outcome on Sunday could impact euro, Brexit talks Most options traders expecting downside risk to euro An outright center-right parliamentary majority could spark euro relief rally Verdict on Angela Merkel’s grand German coalition also … Read More

Research: What Are Ag Options Traders ‘Smiling’ About?

What Are Ag Options Traders ‘Smiling’ About? By Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Highlights Out-of-the-money (OTM) call options for grains signal fear of prices rising OTM premiums for calls top those for puts despite abundant global supplies Tighter credit controls in China could pose a downside risk for prices Read Full Article Connect to … Read More

Research: Anatomy of an Equities Correction

Anatomy of an Equities Correction By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist, CME Group Highlights Bond market concerned with rising U.S. budget deficits, inflation Spike in volatility expected if equities bull market gets back on track Fed rate hikes in March and June highly likely amid rising inflation Where’s the Noteworthy Options Activity Happening? Gain insight into market sentiment … Read More