Economic research: Will low debt and rates lift Colombia?

Risks remain even as oil rebounds and will low debt lift Columbia? By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Risks Remain Even As Oil Rebounds from Lows US shale producers slowed drilling of new wells as prices fell. Supply-demand may not be as well balanced as market indicates. Will Saudi-Russia … Read More

Brazil: Can Low Interest Rates Stimulate Growth?

Brazil: Can Low Interest Rates Stimulate Growth? By Erik Norland, Senior Economist & Paula Attie, Director of Int’l Market Development, CME Group Highlights Brazil is in another recession after weathering 2014-2017 downturn. Pension reform could help shrink deficits, but political challenges remain. Low interest rates steepen yield curve, a positive sign for growth. Could Brazil’s … Read More

Russell 2000 bounces back, Russia cuts rates

Russell 2000 bounces back and Russia’s rate cuts By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Hard-Hit Russell 2000 Bounces Back Small-cap Russell 2000 fell the hardest among equity indices. Indices hit bottom on March 23 after fiscal, monetary policy proposals. US-focused Russell 2000 has rebounded better than large-cap indices. Could … Read More

Data anomalies and Fed’s influence over volatility

Data anomalies and volatility recedes but still high in some markets By Blu Putnam, Chief Economist & Erik Norland, Senior Economist, CME Group Data Anomalies Loss of millions of jobs distorts index of hourly wages. Index jumped to 8% inflation rate from 3% earlier in 2020. Savings rate soared from 8% to 33% during pandemic … Read More

Read the CME’s latest white paper on the US economy

View in your browser New white paper available US Economy: Unemployment, Policy, Debt, Rates, and Possible Inflation Read our newest white paper co-written by Chief Economist Blu Putnam and Senior Economist Erik Norland as they analyze how Covid-19 disrupted the US economy and its future implications. Read white paper US Policy Responses to Economic DistressIn … Read More